St Leger day tips, antepost odds and preview
talkSPORT have you covered with free horse racing tips and free bets from the weekend’s feature meeting at Doncaster with the St Leger Stakes the highlight.
Tom Lunn has gone through the card, form, going and much more to help guide your horse racing betting.
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St Leger betting tips
- CHAMPAGNE STAKES
1.50: Aomori City 9/4 - PARK STAKES
3.00: Lake Forest 7/1 each-way - ST LEGER
3.40: Illinois 7/4
Aomori City
Won well at Goodwood last time out ahead of Wolf Of Badenoch and Cool Hoof Luke, the latter of which has gone on to win again.
The Godolphin-owned two-year-old may well bring a much-needed victory for Charlie Appleby in terms of Group winners in Britain, with the Oasis Dream colt looking great, with his form behind Whistlejacket back in July also working out well.
Lake Forest
Looks to step up to 7f for the first time having shown great form behind the Group 1 sorts of Inisherin and Elite Status.
Lead Artist was a non runner for the Celebration Mile Stakes due to soft ground which may well be the going again this weekend for Doncaster.
At 7/1 the William Haggas-trained colt could go forward again for the first time since his victory in the Gimcrack Stakes at York last year.
Illinois
10 have been declared for the near £400k St Leger on Saturday afternoon.
You Got To Me was supplemented for the race at a cost of £50k, which speaks volumes of connections’ beliefs in this horse’s ability to win a race like this especially as she’ll be the only filly of the field.
As a result, she carries 9st while the colts all carry 9-3.
Illinois is unsurprisingly the front runner in the odds for trainer Aidan O’Brien, who also trains the 2nd and 3rd favourites in the market, Jan Brueghel and Grosvenor Square.
Jan Brueghel’s win over Bellum Justum on August 1 was a huge victory in the grand scheme of things, not just because the Sea The Stars colt went on to win comfortably in the Nashville Derby.
But given the O’Brien-trained horse was sweating before and didn’t necessarily have the kindest of starts, he did well to forge on nicely to win making it 3 for 3 for the Galileo colt.
But he’s going to be stepping up from 1m4f to 1m6f+ for the first time, which seems to be the ideal trip for Illinois, Grosvenor Square, Align The Stars and Wild Waves.
All of these runners do have the pedigree to suggest they can win this, as Galileo has produced numerous St Leger winners.
However, Jan Brueghel is a full brother to Dawn Rising who although has form over 1m6f has yet to win over that distance, though has gone well over further – winning the Queen Alexandra Stakes (2m5f).
As such, it does seem the betting market has this right with Illinois, who went well in the Queen’s Vase over this kind of distance and ought to not be discounted just for his two 2nd place finishes in his last two starts.
Especially now Los Angeles appears to be going for the Irish Champion Stakes instead of the St Leger.
Tom Lunn’s Profit/Loss
- August ’24: +34.88
- From May ’24: +147.96pts
- From July ’23: +360.52pts
All odds correct at time of writing
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