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Analysis of 4* Fla State -11 Wednesday:At 6PM ET is a classic case of two teams headed in opposite directions.  Florida State has won by an average of 17.8 points during their recent winning streak and defeated three of their opponents — North Carolina State, Louisville and Clemson — by an average 21.3 points.Florida State has won 21 consecutive home games against ACC teams and has moved up to second place in the conference. “We feel like we’re the best team in the country, and we want to go out each night and prove it,” Seminoles forward RaiQuan Gray said. “That’s kind of our mentality. Just marking everyone off the list that’s next up. That’s our mentality going forward.” Florida State’s offense is averaging 86.3 points over its past four games thanks to its hottest shooting stretch of the season. The Seminoles have hit 54.3 percent from the field and 49.4 percent from 3-point range in that span. They have also been effective attacking the basket both in half-court sets and in transition and capitalizing from the foul line (87.1 percent). “We had the COVID break, and we had time to regroup mentally and physically and get ourselves right,” Gray said. “We’re better than what we were playing before.” The Hurricanes (6-8, 2-7) have been the complete opposite from a shooting standpoint, primarily from beyond the arc. Miami, which has gone 3-8 since a 3-0 start, is shooting 25.8 percent from 3-point range and struggled again Sunday, going 3-for-22 from long range during a 73-59 loss to Notre Dame. Miami also hasn’t defended the 3-point shot well, which doesn’t bode well against a red-hot Seminoles team. The Fighting Irish made 10 of 18 from 3-point range against Miami, which allowed them to shoot 53.8 percent from the field overall. “We’ve learned this throughout the season, we just can’t guard 3-point shooters very well,” Miami coach Jim Larranaga said. “And Notre Dame shoots a lot of threes, and I wish we could figure out how to get this team to defend the 3-point shot better. And on the other end, we shoot 14 percent from 3. We don’t make any threes and the combination is lethal.” Isaiah Wong has been the constant for the Hurricanes, averaging 17.4 points, 5.7 rebounds, 2.1 assists and 1.1 steals over 35.4 minutes per game. However, Miami has dealt with injuries to key players all season, particularly preseason All-ACC point guard Chris Lykes (ankle), who has not played since Dec. 4. Anthony Walker missed the game against Notre Dame because of a foot injury. “We never expected Chris to be out this long,” Larranaga said. “I thought he would be ready for Louisville, and he wasn’t ready for Syracuse or Notre Dame. When will he be ready? I have no clue. He’s working very hard to rehab the ankle, but he still has pain.” Florida State 7-0 ATS at home after leading their last two games by 10-points or more at halftime. FSU beat Miami 99-81 the last time the teams met in Tallahasse on 2/8/2020. 

In the AFC title game, I’m going to assume Patrick Mahomes has recovered from his concussion and will play the entire game today.  I think it’s reasonable for anybody on the Chiefs today to take that position.  The Chiefs got away with it against Cleveland but anything less than a typical Mahomes effort today, and they could be in trouble against Buffalo.  But I seriously doubt that occurs. To this handicapper this is a COMPLETE MISMATCH and that’s giving Buffalo all the respect they deserve and in particular Josh Allen, who before he is done could easily win multiple Super Bowls. He’s that good.  But if there’s one thing I’ve learned over the years, is that regardless of the sport, SPEED KILLS. KC is loaded with speed and they stack up with a significant edge in that department at the receiver position and in the secondary.  Plus add the likes of running back Edwards-Helaire and WR Watkins, both of whom missed last week, into the mix today and all the weapons and toys are there for Mahomes.  The genius of Andy Reid going for it on 4th down last week in the final two minutes with a back-up quarterback throwing is something I would say no other coach in the league would make.  Do you realize that KC is 1-8 ATS in their last nine games. It seems very unlikely this trend continues given how talented they are.  I sense the Chiefs have yet to play their most-complete game this season yet. They are notorious for winning single-digit margin games. But FINALLY this is a spread they should be able to handle.  All Super Bowl defending champs have a target on their back in Vegas and it’s very difficult for them to achieve a winning spread record the following year. But KC has been elevated to a new level. I could make the argument that Cleveland last week was playing just as well as Buffalo has the last month. Yet the Browns were an 8 1/2-point underdog.  Once again KC failed to cover but let’s face facts: It was primarily due to the departure of Mahomes. I highly doubt the Browns get inside that number if Mahomes doesn’t exit the game in the 3rd quarter(trailed 19-3 at the half).  I saw no indication of Cleveland doing any better than trading points while he was in the game and by then it was easily a double-digit deficit.  Cleveland entered that game with something Buffalo doesn’t have: a legitimate ground game. KC loves to blitz the opposing QB and they can get away with it because their coverage is that good.  The Bills will become one-dimensional in this game early while the Chiefs enjoy excellent balance and especially if Edwards-Helaire plays, although Darrel Williams averaged 6.0 yards per carry last week and has obviously replaced Le’Veon Bell.  Buffalo hasn’t faced the type of speed KC will throw at them.  When they put Tyreek Hill and/or Mecole Hardman in motion, it will baffle even the best defenses.  The two last week combined for four carries adding a new element and making the middle of the field wide open for Travis Kelce, the best tight end in the game, to operate in.  I can’t see anybody defending those three with any type of success especially when you add Mahome’s running ability, albeit possibly limited today out of precaution for head injury sustained.  Buffalo only amassed 206 total yards of offense in the 26-17 loss to KC this season on October 19th.  That was not only a season-low for the Bills but also the lowest allowed by the Chiefs all season.  All the same home trends for Championship Sunday apply here as well for KC. This is the first road game for Buffalo since being in Foxboro on December 28th.  The Chiefs were 6-0 straight-up this year against winning teams and +169 yards per game!  KC ran wild against Buffalo this year with 245 yards on the ground.  The Bills’ priority that night was to stop Mahomes. Therein lies the problem for those playing against the Chiefs and especially at this price. They can beat you in multiple ways.  How good is the KC defense right now? Consider this: Last week after being held to just three-points in the first-half, Cleveland had to throw virtually on every play in the second-half.  KC lost QB Mahomes to injury midway through the 3rd quarter and yet, KC had a 438-308 advantage in total yards.  Meanwhile the day before Buffalo beat Baltimore 17-3 but the Ravens not only had a 150-32 rushing edge they actually had more yards throwing the football (190-188). The Bills could only muster 10-points offensively and Baltimore was less than 10-yards away from tying the game before that 101-yard interception return.  Buffalo might have to double their production in terms of total yards today and still likely won’t beat the Chiefs.  In the first meeting this year offensive coordinator Eric Bienemy called 46 running plays and just 26 passing plays. The result was KC owned the clock for 37:45. No wonder the Bills only had 206 yards of offense and from what I saw last week, they weren’t exactly lethal on offense then.  KC has become a master of clock control and Reid has shown guts for going for it on 4th down when most coaches would get conservative.  I think this gets ugly if Mahomes is anywhere close to 100 percent.  In addition to the 245 rushing yards KC had on October 19th against Buffalo, Patrick Mahomes was a very-efficient 21-of-26 for 225 yards and two touchdowns in a game that was played in a pouring rain.  That was a game in which the final score was NOT INDICATIVE of the statistics.  Last week despite leaving midway through the 3rd quarter in a game the Chiefs were up 19-3 at the half, Mahomes was still 21-of-30 for 255 yards and two touchdowns. That has to be on pace for 350 yards or more with at least three TD passes and especially if the Browns put up a fight. Do not underestimate an effective Edwards-Helaire. He had 161 rushing yards against the Bills in the first meeting. If he’s close to 100%, his presence could certainly assist in building and maintaining a sizeable lead.  At this price, I’ll take a shot here with KC as a rare Playoff 5* @ -3.   

Analysis of 4 1/2* Best Bet Cincinnati on New Years Day:

At +7 I was on the fence with Cincinnati. But at this price I can’t resist the undefeated Bearcats.  Georgia had three starters opt out on Tuesday with right guard Ben Cleveland, their best offensive lineman, linebacker Monty Rice, who led the team in sacks (9), and corner Eric Stokes, who recorded the team’s only two interceptions.  Also Bulldogs’ 2nd-leading running back, James Cook, has decided to sit out for personal reasons.  This line is disrespecting  Cincinnati, who already enters with a chip on their shoulder for being undefeated and not making the final four.  I love that QB Desmond Ridder is a dual-threat with 55 career touchdown passes and 1831 rushing yards over his first three years.  Ridder spread the wealth too with eight different receivers having double-digit reception numbers and catching at least one touchdown pass.  This is the 8th bowl in 10-years for Cincinnati, who covered by 23-points last December in the Birmingham Bowl against Boston College. But what I like most about Cincinnati is their defense. The Bearcats rank #2 in the FBS in pass defense and had 27 sacks while limiting opponents to 139-yards under their per-game average.    Cincinnati Coach Fickell is 18-0 straight-up when facing an opponent with the Bearcats owning the better record. Cincy also 9-2-1 ATS as an underdog of 14-points or less when facing an opponent with a winning record and 7-1 ATS when the opposition is not undefeated.  This is kind of rare getting an undefeated opponent with an experienced mobile QB that ranks in the top 20 in scoring, total offense and total defense and as an underdog of more than 7-points.  Plus how much motivation will Georgia have at the Peach Bowl, approximately 60 miles from their campus with a stadium 15 percent full?  I have to try Cincinnati.  I know Georgia was overwhelming in their last three games with J.T. Daniels at QB, outscoring opponents 125-54. But that was against Missouri, South Carolina, and Mississippi State. 

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Kudos to 10* Totals Club hitting 10* on Northern Ky ‘OVER’ 129 on  Tuesday

10* Totals Club now 42-25 w/ all NCAA Totals. 4-1 last five rated 10

Analysis of 5* Duquesne +6 on the buy Tuesday:

In their last eight games since January 26th, Duquesne has only lost one game by more than three points and that was to mighty Dayton by 10 on the road.  The Dukes are 20-8 overall, 10-5 on the road, and 10-6 in league play. This has been their best season in a number of years. They take on VCU who has lost outright in 5/6 and really struggling offensively failing to exceed 62-points in 4/5.  I can’t say with any conviction the Dukes are a defensive juggernaut but they can score producing 67 or more in 8/9 and reaching the 80-point plateau in four of them.  VCU has been a solid go-against all season with a 10-19 spread ledger and 3-12 ATS on the season after playing one or more consecutive ‘UNDERS’.  I think the Dukes stay competitive tonight. What’s remarkable about VCU is they only have one healthy double-digit scorer in forward Marcus Santos-Silva at 12.4 points per game. 2nd-leading scorer, guard De’Riante Jenkins at 10.7 per game, is out indefinitely with ‘personal’ reasons.  Third-leading scorer, guard Marcus Evans at 9.9 a game, is out with a knee injury he sustained on 2/24.  Duquesne has five starters that average between 14-4 and 9.0 points per game and all are healthy including a senior and three juniors.  Duquesne has already had a nice 82-68 road win at St. Louis, where VCU lost on 2/21 by a 80-62 count.  The Rams are struggling without their 2nd and 3rd leading scorers and without many options offensively. I feel like I have the better team catching points and love the idea of +6 on the buy.  Analysis of 4 1/2* Arkansas ‘OVER’ 154 1/2 on Wednesday:

I can’t imagine seeing any defense tonight for LSU and Arkansas.  The Razorbacks are an incredible 12-1 ‘OVER’ in their last 13 games. I projected this total to be in the low 160’s so there is some value.  LSU had a 7-game ‘OVER’ streak snapped by lackadaisical Texas A&M in their last game.  But consider this: The last meeting between these two teams produced a 79-77 final and LSU shot only 40.9 percent from the floor including 4-of-15 from beyond the arc (26%) and missed seven free throws (21-of-28).  In the prior two meetings before that the final scores were 90-89 and 94-88.  Arkansas is 6-0 ‘OVER’ off a road loss and got beat at Georgia on Saturday.  The Hogs are 9-0 ‘OVER’ this season revenging a loss in which they scored 75 or more points.  LSU 11-2 ‘OVER’ on the road this season plus 22-10 ‘OVER’ in the role of an underdog the past three years.

Maingate Group now 26-11 w/ 25* or higher since Auburn beat Alabama on November 30th 

16-3 Football/10-8 NCAA Hoops w/ all 25* or higher since 11/30  

Animal 38-21-1 NCAA Majors last 40 days in 2019 (see list below)

Animal 64-43 Hoop Majors from Feb 1st thru Title Game in 2018

Animal 61-34 NCAA 5*’s last 7 years

Service plays in RED 46-24-4 ATS last 26 days of College Hoops in 2018 on MC.

Maingate 21-0-1 from March 7th thru NCAA Title game 25*/15* plays in 2018!  

Maingate Group 10-8 so far in NCAA Hoop 25* plays

Since November 30th when Maingate had 35* Auburn over Alabama as Game of the Year now 16-3 w/ 35* and 25* plays and 10-8 w/ NCAA Hoop 25* plays

1/19:  25* SF 49ers -8…..37-20….. WIN

1/12:  25* Green Bay -4…..28-23…..WIN

1/5:    25* Seattle/Philly ‘UNDER’ 45….17-9….WIN

1/4:    25* New England ‘OVER’ 45….21-13….LOSS

1/1:    25* Baylor +4 1/2….14-26…..LOSS

12/29: 25* SF 49ers -3….26-21….WIN

12/28: 25* Clemson -2 1/2….29-23…WIN

12/27: 25* Air Force -2 1/2….31-21….WIN

12/24: 25* BYU -2…34-38….LOSS

12/22: 25* KC -6……26-3….WIN

12/21: 25* SF/Rams ‘OVER’ 45….34-31….WIN

12/15:  25* Vikings/Chargers ‘OVER’ 45….39-10….WIN

12/14:  25* Kansas -23…NCAA Hoops..98-57…WIN

12/12:  25* Baltimore ‘OVER’ 23 1st half…21-7 @ half….WIN

12/11:  25* LA Chargers -3….45-10…..WIN

12/10:  35* Clemson -28 1/2…62-17….WIN

12/2:    25* Seattle -2 1/2…37-30….WIN

12/1:    25* Houston Texans +3 1/2……28-22…..WIN

11/30:  35* Auburn +3 1/2..48-45…WIN

Remember guys, Maingate Group is the service that hit 21 straight in March Madness two years ago

10* Totals Club now 12-5 last 17 rated w/ LSU/Clemson ‘OVER’ in title game

2/2:      10* SF/KC ‘OVER’ 53……..31-20…..LOSS

1/13:   10* Clemson/LSU ‘OVER’ 65 1/2…..42-25….WIN

1/2:     10* Cincinnati/BC ‘OVER’ 53….38-6….LOSS

12/29: 10* New England/Miami ‘OVER’ 45….27-24….WIN

12/28: 10* LSU/Okla ‘OVER’ 76….63-28….WIN

12/26: 10* Pittsburgh Univ ‘OVER’ 49….34-30….WIN

12/22: 10* Baltimore ‘OVER’ 49.  31-15….LOSS

12/21: 10* New England ‘OVER’ 37…24-17…34-31….WIN

12/16: 10* New Orleans ‘OVER’ 48 1/2….34-7…LOSS

12/15: 10* Pittsburgh ‘UNDER’ 37…..17-10….WIN

12/8:   10* New England ‘UNDER’ 49….23-16…..WIN

12/7:   10* Clemson ‘OVER’ 56….62-17….WIN

12/6:   10* Oregon ‘OVER’ 45 1/2….37-15….WIN

12/1:   10* NY Jets ‘OVER’ 42 1/2….22-6….LOSS

11/30:  10* Wyoming ‘UNDER’ 41 1/2…..17-7….WIN

11/29:  10* Buffalo Univ ‘OVER’ 53 1/2….49-30….WIN

11/28:  10* Dallas ‘UNDER’ 47…..26-15….WIN

Animal 38-21-1 last 40 Days w/ NCAA Majors missing Texas Tech in OT Monday

4/8: 4* Texas Tech +1 1/2  Loss

4/6: 5* Auburn/UVA ‘OVER’ 132  Loss

4/5: 4* Liscomb +2  Loss

4/2: 4* Lipscomb -1  WIN

3/31: 4* Ky ‘OVER’ 142 1/2  WIN

3/30: 4* Gonzaga ‘OVER’ 136 1/2  WIN

3/29: 4* Duke ‘OVER’ 143  WIN

3/29: 4 1/2* UNC -5 1/2  Loss

3/28: 4* Oregon +8 1/2  WIN

3/26: 4 1/2* Wichita State +4 1/2 WIN

3/25: 4* West Va -10  Loss

3/24: 4* Houston -6  WIN

3/23 4 1/2* Villanova +3 1/2  Loss

3/23: 4* Kentucky -5  WIN

3/22: 4 1/2* Wisconsin ‘OVER’ 116 1/2  WIN

3/21: 4* Gonzaga ‘OVER’ 152  Loss

3/21: 4* Belmont +3  WIN

3/21: 4* Auburn -5 1/2  Loss

3/20: 4* Alabama ‘UNDER’ 144  Loss thanks to OT

3/19: 4 1/2* Hofstra +9  WIN

3/19: 4* Belmont -3  WIN

3/17: 4 1/2* Auburn/Tenn ‘OVER’ 144:  WIN

3/16: 4 1/2* Wichita State +5 1/2  WIN

3/16: 4* Kentucky -1 1/2  Lose

3/15: 4* Xavier +7 1/2  WIN

3/15: 4* South Carolina +8 Loss by 9

3/15: 4* St Bonaventure ‘UNDER’ 130  WIN

3/14: 4* Wichita State -11  WIN

3/14: 4* Duquesne +2  Loss

3/14: 4* Fla State +1  WIN

3/13: 4* Texas A&M -3 1/2  WIN

3/13: 4* Air Force -11  WIN

3/12: 4 1/2* Gonzaga -8 1st half/-14 game (split action).  Loss

3/12: 4* Georgia Tech +2  Loss

3/11: 4* Hofstra ‘OVER’ 147  WIN

3/11: 4* Hofstra -10 1/2 Loss

3/10: 4* Penn State -8  WIN

3/9: 4* Washington -2 in the 1st half.  Loss

3/9: 4 1/2* Ky ‘OVER’ 128.  Loss

3/9: 4* Boston College +3 1/2 Loss

3/8: 4* Drake ‘UNDER’ 140. Push.  86 in 2nd half after 54 in 1st half

3/7: 4 1/2* Houston -12 1/2  Loss by 1.5 points

3/6: 4* Clemson ‘UNDER’ 133 WIN

3/6: 4* Dayton -6 1/2 1st half  WIN

3/5:  4* Miami Ohio/Kent ‘UNDER’ 144 WIN

3/5: 4* Wisconsin-Green Bay -3  WIN

3/3: 4* Texas Tech -4 1/2 1st half  WIN

3/2: 4 1/2* South Florida +4  WIN

3/2: 4* Stanford +1 1/2  WIN

3/1: 4 1/2* Penn State +6 1/2  WIN

3/1: 4* Houston ‘OVER’ 133 1/2  Lose by 1/2-point

3/1: 4* Utah State +1 WIN

2/27: 4* Towson State +3  WIN

2/26: 4* Northern Iowa +1 1/2  WIN

2/26: 4* Nevada ‘OVER’ 152 1/2  WIN

The Animal has flat out owned Super Bowls:

Animal 13-3 the last eight years w/ Super Bowl sides & totals.

Animal 64-43 Hoop Majors from Feb 1st thru Title Game

Animal 61-34 NCAA 5*’s last 3 years

Service plays in RED 46-24-4 ATS last 26 days of College Hoops in 2018.   

Modified Consensus is flat out scary w/ Big plays in RED:

158-103 Hoops as of 2/27/2019

Bowl Service Plays in RED finish 33-16 on season w/ 10* Totals Club hitting 10* on Clemson ‘OVER’

December 31st, 2018.  A day that will live in infamy in the Consensus Biz!

Service plays in RED finish 16-6 on New Years Eve & New Years Day combined.  That’s 33-16 in all Bowls in RED this postseason! 

& what a football season J.J. is having.  86-48 in NCAA Football including 10-4 in Bowls!  

HOOPS, HOOPS, HOOPS 2018 recap:

Maingate 21-0-1 from March 7th thru NCAA Title game 25*/15* plays

Animal 64-43 Hoop Majors from Feb 1st thru Title Game

Animal 61-34 NCAA 5*’s last 3 years

Service plays in RED 46-24-4 ATS last 26 days of College Hoops in 2018

Any questions contact Mark @ [email protected]

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Analysis of Warriors -4 in NBA finale:

I didn’t want to lay double-digits with Golden State in the first two games and split.  Then in game #3 my gut told me not to trust the Cavaliers over four quarters and use them early. Unfortunately they miraculously blew an eight-point lead with two minutes to go in the first quarter @ -1 and the end result was a push and naturally covered the first half. As a buddy who is an on-line oddsmaker said “it’s amazing how much respect a home team gets when trailing 2-0” referring to the fact the Cavs were actually favored in the first quarter and pick’em in the first half in game #3 despite being an underdog in the game of more than three-points.  Needless to say, quite unusual, and only in the playoffs. Now another strange intangible tonight.  For the first time in this series the two teams play with just one day off so depth may play a factor and the return of Andre Iguodala to the lineup is obviously huge.  In addition I thought Cleveland wasted terrific games by Kevin Love and Rodney Hood, although despite his scoring, Hood was -12 when in the game (worst on the team). LeBron spoke yesterday about the IQ of Golden State and I would concur. Having a guy like Iguodala back makes a significant impact. He was +14 in game #3.  Golden State won by eight points despite Curry and Thompson a combined 7-of-27 for 25.9 percent.  I doubt that happens again.  LeBron did everything he could do to get others involved and I thought he had terrific help in game #3. But it still didn’t matter.  Now Golden State is a game away from accomplishing something unique in this rivalry: a four-game sweep in the finals.  That should be incentive tonight and Durant sure did have that look in his eye of an assassin ready to finish the job.  I figured if the Cavaliers had any fight left it would have showed up in game #3 and it did for all but the final two minutes before talent prevailed as usual.  I wonder how many Cavaliers tonight really want to extend this series and travel back to the bay area for a game #5. LeBron played all but 70 seconds of game #3.  How fatigued must he be playing on one day of rest with his three-point shot abandoning his arsenal on Wednesday night. Curry hit nine three-pointers in game #2 and then was 1-for-10 from beyond the arc two nights ago. Yet the Warriors still beat the Cavaliers for the 10th time in the last 11 meetings.  I know Cleveland is 7-2 in elimination games since 2015 and that includes three wins in these playoffs. Last year Cleveland forced a fifth game in this exact same scenario and hit 24 three-point shots in game #4.  Golden State will undoubtedly be a double-digit favorite in game #5 should it be necessary and since I have yet to take them this series, I’ll back them tonight at this discounted price and figure while it won’t be easy, talent should once again prevail in the end.  I caught -4 at

Last 3 years Animal NCAA Hoop BEST BETS rated 5* or 4 1/2* are 61-34 ATS 

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Season #41 and what a journey DESPITE Covid-19!  

2020 has been unusual to say the least.  Our last day together was March 12th when St. John’s walked off the court at MSG at halftime in the opening round of the Big East Tournament.  I would have never dreamed to be off for almost six months!  A bit of history:  So my 1st night in the biz was in October of 1980. Game #1 of the Kansas City/Philadelphia World Series.  That was opening night for “Dial Sports” in a garage in Huntingdon Valley, PA and right outside of Philly.  I was the ‘producer’ and the late Mickey Charles was the on-air host.  I never would have dreamed a 21-year old kid who loved to write and gamble would still be in the business four decades later.  But once I found the passion, it was unstoppable.  I’m still as hungry as ever trying to find winners.  Let’s make season #41 very, very special! 

Mark [email protected] 

2020 Modified’s here!

New Blood on the panel this fall for Football 2020.  All the details on the Premium Page. It begins on September 3rd and ends in early February with the Super Bowl. FINALLY, we get re-started after almost six weeks off because of the Pandemic!  Hope to have you aboard!  Mark

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