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Number of Britons falling ill with Covid every day rises by almost 30% in a week, figures warn

The number of Britons catching Covid every day rose almost 30 per cent last week, amid fears a fourth wave of infections is just around the corner.

King’s College London scientists estimated 58,126 people were getting infected every day in the week ending September 25, up 28.9 per cent from the previous seven day spell.

Cases have soared in children ever since millions of youngsters returned to classrooms following the summer holidays. But now infections appear to be spilling over into their parents, a trend MailOnline revealed earlier this week. 

Professor Tim Spector, who leads the study, said cases were now being passed up the ‘generational ladder’. He warned families to be careful at this ‘critical time’ because a ‘little caution’ could stop hospitals being overrun in the face of another surge this winter.  

Britain has seen its Covid cases rise week-on-week for the past 12 days, after yesterday recording 36,722 positive tests —  up 6 per cent on last Wednesday. Scotland recorded a meteoric rise in infections after schools went back in mid-August, which prompted fears England would also suffer. 

It came as separate Test and Trace figures today showed England’s infections rose 18 per cent in the latest week. There were more than 190.000 positive test results recorded in the week to September 22, they said.

And Public Health England’s weekly surveillance report revealed Covid cases rose in eight in ten local authorities across England last week.

King’s College London scientists estimated 58,126 people caught symptomatic Covid every day in the week to September 25, the latest available. This was a rise of almost 30 per cent from the previous week

Public Health England’s weekly surveillance report showed more than eight in ten local authorities saw their Covid cases rise last week (left) compared to the previous seven-day spell (right)

Children, their parents and young adults all saw their Covid cases rise last week, figures suggested. Professor Tim Spector, who leads the study, warned that the infections were now travelling up the 'generational ladder'

Children, their parents and young adults all saw their Covid cases rise last week, figures suggested. Professor Tim Spector, who leads the study, warned that the infections were now travelling up the ‘generational ladder’

Covid cases are rising in all four UK nations. The above graph shows cases are now higher in Wales than in every region of England

Covid cases are rising in all four UK nations. The above graph shows cases are now higher in Wales than in every region of England

Public Health England's weekly surveillance report showed Covid cases rose among children and their parents last week, and remained flat among grandparents. It is feared cases will soon spill over into the most vulnerable age group

Public Health England’s weekly surveillance report showed Covid cases rose among children and their parents last week, and remained flat among grandparents. It is feared cases will soon spill over into the most vulnerable age group

The report also showed that infections are now rising in every region of England, ahead of winter

The report also showed that infections are now rising in every region of England, ahead of winter

Separate Test and Trace data showed the number of people testing positive for Covid in England rose in the latest week. There were more than 190.000 positive test results recorded in the week to September 22, up 18 per cent in seven days

Separate Test and Trace data showed the number of people testing positive for Covid in England rose in the latest week. There were more than 190.000 positive test results recorded in the week to September 22, up 18 per cent in seven days

Britain’s daily Covid cases rise by 7% in a week to 36,722 as outbreak continues to grow

Covid cases rose by seven per cent across the UK yesterday, marking the twelfth day in a row that the outbreak grew week-on-week.

Department of Health bosses posted another 36,722 infections, a rise of 6.6 per cent compared to the 34,460 positive tests recorded last Wednesday. 

Britain’s infections have increased steadily after schools reopened this month, with increased mixing in classes driving up rates in pupils. And there are now signs that they are passing the virus to their parents. 

Meanwhile, another 150 deaths were added to the Covid death toll, while 659 infected Britons were hospitalised.

Both figures – which lag several weeks behind cases because of how long it can take for infected patients to become seriously ill – are down 10 per cent compared to last week’s data.

The latest figures means an average of 35,204 people tested positive on any given day in the last week.

Nearly 8million Britons have received a positive lab-reported or lateral flow result since the beginning of the pandemic. 

Millions more cases have been missed due to lack of testing capacity in previous waves and asymptomatic spreaders, who make up a significant amount of transmission.

At the peak of the second wave last winter, some 81,480 people tested positive on a single day. 

The vast majority of the daily infections were spotted in England. Some 29,036 cases were recorded, a rise of 6.3 per cent on the 27,317 positive tests last week. 

 

Estimates from the Covid symptom study app — also run by health data science company ZOE — suggested Covid cases rose in all four UK nations last week compared to the previous seven-day spell.

Wales was predicted to have seen the sharpest rise in infections, up 33 per cent in a week to 4,185 cases a day, followed by England (up 29 per cent to 46,275), and Northern Ireland (up 28 per cent to 1,999).

Scotland was predicted to have seen its cases rise by five per cent in the latest week, with 4,185 residents thought to be catching the virus every day. 

Professor Spector, an epidemiologist at King’s College London, said: ‘While the latest ZOE data shows new cases are up on last week, it’s encouraging to see national hospitalisation rates falling as we approach winter. 

‘While most cases are still in the young, we’re seeing infections being passed up the generational ladder, likely from school children to their parents. 

‘Most of these new adult infections are in the under 50s, who still have a relatively low risk of being admitted to hospital, especially if they’ve been fully vaccinated.

‘As the winter approaches, it’s important parents of school-aged children and students don’t pass the virus on to more vulnerable grandparents by not recognising simple cold-like symptoms as a possible Covid infection. 

‘This is a critical time and a little caution could make all the difference in avoiding a winter crisis for hospitals.’

Separate Public Health England data today showed Covid cases rose in 124 of 149 local authorities in the week to September 26, the latest available.

The Isle of Wight saw the sharpest uptick in infections, rising 50.5 per cent in a week (up to 403 cases per 100,000 people in the area).

It was followed by Swindon (cases rose by 41 per cent to 480.9 per 100,000) and Bath and North East Somerset (up 40.6 per cent to 368.7 per 100,000).

On the other hand among the 25 council areas that saw their infections dip in a week, Islington saw the sharpest drop (down 22.8 per cent to 132.6 per 100,000).

Westminster saw the second sharpest dip (down by 19.1 per cent to 135.6 per 100,000), followed by Redcar and Cleveland in the North East (down by 16.5 per cent to 273.3 per 100,000).

PHE surveillance data also showed infections are rising among children, and spilling over into their parents.

But among grandparents infections are remaining at the same level, suggesting they are yet to spill into the age group that is most vulnerable to the virus. 

PHE figures showed 10 to 19-year-olds saw their infection rate rise 41 per cent last week (up to 1,084.2 cases per 100,000 people), and among 5 to 9-year-olds it rose 9.7 per cent (543.8 per 100,000).

Among 40 to 49-year-olds Covid cases rose 30 per cent last week (up to 388.7 per 100,000), followed by 50 to 59-year-olds (up 13.7 per cent to 227 per 100,000) and 30 to 39-year-olds (up 8.2 per cent to 263.4 per 100,000).

Covid cases remained flat among grandparents around 100 cases per 100,000 people, and dipped by 11 per cent among 20 to 29-year-olds to 162.3 per 100,000.

Figures also showed Covid cases rose in every region of England last week, with the sharpest uptick in the South West (up by 28.2 per cent) and Yorkshire and the Humber (up 27.9 per cent). 

Today’s report is the last to be published by Public Health England, before the agency is replaced by the National Institute for Health Protection. The new agency will publish the weekly surveillance report next week. 

 

Separate Test and Trace figures showed some 10.9 per cent of people who tested positive for Covid — around one in nine — were not reached, meaning they were not able to provide details of recent close contacts. This was down from 11.7 per cent in the previous week.

Anybody in England who tests positive for Covid, either through a rapid (LFD) test or a PCR test processed in a laboratory, is transferred to Test and Trace so their contacts can be identified and alerted.

A total of 75.0 per cent of people who were tested for Covid in England in the week ending September 22 at a regional site, local site or mobile testing unit — a so-called ‘in-person’ test — received their result within 24 hours.

This is down from 87.3 per cent the previous week and is the lowest since the week to July 21.

Prime Minister Boris Johnson had pledged that, by the end of June 2020, the results of all in-person tests would be back within 24 hours.

He told the House of Commons on June 3 2020 he would get ‘all tests turned around within 24 hours by the end of June, except for difficulties with postal tests or insuperable problems like that’. 

Boris Johnson is banking on booster shots for the over-50s and first doses for 12 to 15-year-olds to keep a lid on the virus this winter.

But should the NHS come under severe pressure the Prime Minister has warned some restrictions will have to be brought back, including face masks and social distancing. The Government’s scientific advisers say ministers may need to go harder and faster to suppress an outbreak of the virus. 

Yesterday Covid cases rose by seven per cent across the UK, marking the twelfth day in a row that the outbreak had grown week-on-week.

Department of Health bosses posted another 36,722 infections, a rise of 6.6 per cent compared to the 34,460 positive tests recorded last Wednesday. 

Britain’s infections have increased steadily after schools reopened this month, with increased mixing in classes driving up rates in pupils.

Meanwhile, another 150 deaths were added to the Covid death toll, while 659 infected Britons were hospitalised.

Both figures — which lag several weeks behind cases because of how long it can take for infected patients to become seriously ill — are down 10 per cent compared to last week’s data.


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